Bruce's Past Picks
In both Panthers-Oilers regular-season meetings, plus these first four in these finals, at least seven goals have been scored. As in Game 4 on Thursday, when nine goals were scored. It was also the second straight game in which Edmonton had to pull goalie Stuart Skinner, with Cal Pickard (now 7-0 in these playoffs) very effective in relief, though Kris Knoblauch has yet to decide who's in the nets for Game 5. (Surprise if not Pickard.) The Oilers seemed to get Sergei Bobrovsky rattled in the Florida nets in game 4, and for all of his highlight-reel assists, Connor McDavid is still looking for a goal in this series. One more night for this totals pattern to continue. Play Panthers-Oilers Over
The storyline to note with the Oilers was the latest pull of goalie Stuart Skinner by Kris Knoblauch in Game 4. That's back-to-back games with Skinner yanked, and unlike Game 3, when it was too late for Cal Pickard to make a difference, he shut the gate enough on Thursday for Edmonton to rally from a 3-0 deficit to win in OT and push his playoff record to 7-0. We're assuming Pickard will be in the nets for Game 5, though Knoblauch has yet to announce. Whatever, in this series of resilience, we still like Florida's depth scoring, its ability to cause disruptions with its forecheck, and Sergei Bobrovsky's likelihood to bounce back in goal from a tough Game 4. Play Panthers on Money Line
At the moment, this doesn't feel like some of Edmonton's past series when the Oilers were slow to get going before recovering. The Game 3 meltdown in Sunrise alarmed a steady stream to the penalty box set up power play after power play for the Panthers. Last season, when the Oilers fell behind 3-0 in this finals matchup, it was because goal scoring had dried up, with just four in the first three games, before climbing back into the series by scoring 18 the next three games to force Game Seven. Repeat? Not sure. Stuart Skinner had also been holding up well in goal but he was pulled in Game 3, though he gets another chance tonight. Play Panthers on the Puck Line.
So constant has been this angle that It's hard to mistake this scoring trend in Panthers-Oilers games this season. At least seven goals have been scored in all five of the previous meetings. The Panthers, in particular, haven't slowed down in the Finals, racking up 14 goals in the first three games. Meanwhile, though Edmonton's offense has slowed the past five periods, at some point Connor McDavid can be expected to start scoring goals (he doesn't have any yet in the Finals). The bigger concern for the Oilers right now appears in goal, where Stuart Skinner might be regressing back into his Mr. Hyde routine, and pulled by Kris Knoblauch in Game 3 (Skinner gets one more chance tonight). Play Oilers-Panthers Over.
Four meetings now between these sides this season with at least seven goals scored in each, including the first two games of these finals. Florida's depth came in handy in Game 2, leveling the series in OT, after Edmonton came back to win Game One, also in OT. Indeed, OTs in the first two games of this series with regulation time ending 3-3 and 4-4, respectively. The Oilers have enough speed and skill to skate clear of the forecheck traps that the Panthers sprung upon Carolina in the East finals, while Florida's succession of productive lines means Stuart Skinner doesn't have a lot of time to rest in the Edmonton goal. We'll stick with the high-scoring pattern in Game 3. Play Oilers-Panthers Over.
Home edge? Not in these playoffs when the Oilers have been on the road, as once beyond the opening two games vs. the Kings, Edmonton has won seven of eight as a visitor. Even minus key cog Zach Hyman, the Oilers have used their speed and skill to cut thru the Florida defense and provide good chances against Sergei Bobrovsky. Note the three Oilers losses since the first two games of the Kings series have been games in which Edmonton looked like it was about to win, the only real letdown a five-or-so minute span in Game 1 of the Dallas series. We'd be surprised if Edmonton doesn't get one of these games in Sunrise. Play Oilers on the Money Line.
We admit a bit of surprise in Game One as Edmonton began to dominate after falling two goals behind in the early going. From the middle of the second period onward had begun to tilt the ice in their favor. Florida was hanging on in the 3rd period when Edmonton finally leveled, and in OT it was one-way traffic as it looked like the Oilers were most likely to win. Florida's stellar road mark in the postseason wasn't enough to prevent the Panthers going down 2-0 on the road in the Toronto series, and Florida's forecheck might not be able to slow the Oilers as it did the Canes in the East finals. Play Oilers on the Puck Line.
Wednesday followed the regular-season script between these two, with at least seven goals being scored in all three matchups. Game One continued in that manner, though the Panthers had trouble sustaining their early momentum as the Oilers caught them at 3 in the third period and won in OT. There are too may good skaters on Edmonton's side for the Oilers to fall into any of Florida's forecheck traps, instead able to move into the O-zone in Game One and pepper Sergei Bobrovsky, who couldn't keep out every shot. Florida does retain the capacity to score goals, tallying five or more in five of its last seven games, and currently on a 10-4 over streak in the postseason. Play Panthers-Oilers Over.
There is a bit different vibe about the Panthers this postseason,, much to do with scorelines. Recent evidence suggests we are unlikely to see a repeat of Florida's lower-scoring 3-0 win in the opener last June, as all three preceding rounds for Florida have featured over results in Game Ones. The Panthers hit the finals on an uncommonly hot stretch of goal scoring, netting five or more in five of their last six playoff games. Note, too, the regular-season meetings between these two featured 11 and 7 goals, respectively, as neither Sergei Bobrovsky not Stuart Skinner could shine in goal. With McDavid & Draisaitl the other way, there is plenty of firepower on the ice to clear six goals in the opener. Play Panthers-Oilers Over
Home-ice edge has been an overrated angle in Florida playoff games. Why? the Panthers have opened all three rounds on the road and are 8-2 as a visitor in this postseason, so Game One in Edmonton should not prove a bother. The biggest advantages for Florida this postseason have come with some tweaks around the edges by shrewd GM Bill Zito, whose deadline adds of Seth Jones (liberated from Chicago) and Brad Marchand (out of Boston) added bite and depth to the defense and third lines, respectively. The absence of key cog Zach Hyman might prove a negative for the Oilers, too. Moreover, can Stuart Skinner outplay Sergei Bobrovsky in the nets and give Edmonton a better chance at revenge? Play Panthers on Money Line
The 4-1 scoreline in Game 4 was deceiving, padded by a pair of empty-net Oilers goals in the last three minutes. Dallas was in position to level the series with only Oilers' goalkeeper Stuart Skinner keeping them at bay. Edmonton will now be proceeding without one of its key cogs, Zach Hyman, and while there are others, Hyman will be hard to replace. The Stars, apt to score goals in bunches earlier in the playoffs, need to rediscover that form while GK Jake Oettinger keeps the door shut. Refer to Game 5 of the Dallas-Colorado series when the Stars, on the ropes, jumped out quickly for their best game of the playoffs to date. Repeat tonight? Play Stars on the Puck Line.
What has happened to the Dallas offense? What has happen to Mikko Rantanen? The Stars looked like they might be headed to the Stanley Cup finals after their 6-3 win in Game One, but only two goals have ensued. Even-strength goals have been rare in this series for Dallas, which got three rapid-fire power-play strikes in Game One and another in Game Four. But that's been about it vs. Stuart Skinner. As for Rantanen, who looked on course for the Conn Smythe earlier in the playoffs, he hasn't scored now in seven straight games. With Jake Oettinger, Dallas can recover, and there has been an under bent to results both ways since later in their respective second round matchups. Play Oilers-Stars Under.
Rewind to last year's finals vs. Edmonton, when Florida let a 3-0 series lead slip to 3-3 before finally nudging out a win in Game 7 to claim the Cup. This postseason, some unexpected flops at home, such as Game 3, holding a 2-0 lead, vs. the Lightning, and how about Game 6 in the last round vs. the Leafs, with a chance to close out matters before being blanked by Joseph Woll, 2-0? Carolina did finally break its 15-game conference finals skid on Monday, but we suggest it was more a matter of this curious Panthers close-out pattern, as Florida has proven capable of bouncing back quickly, and did have a 16-4 scoring edge the first three games. Play Panthers on Puck Line
The Panthers have been prone to flat efforts (in close-out games, no less) like Game 4, but usually recover with a vengeance. Florida has mostly been able to swarm Freddy Andersen in the Carolina goal, and had scored 16 times across the first three games before getting blanked on Monday. Sam Reinhart also apparently returns for Paul Maurice tonight. The Panthers were also blanked in Game 6 at home vs. the Leafs before recovering for a 6-1 road win in Game 7 in the last round, and as always, there is risk of a trailing team about ready to get closed out, pulling tis goalie earlier than it might and risking more empty-netters if behind late. That's another Carolina risk tonight. Play Panthers-Canes Over
The storyline here is that Dallas is having trouble scoring goals again, almost blanked for the second straight in Sunday's 6-1 loss. What the Stars have shown, however, is that they're capable of winning low-scoring games in the postseason, as they did in the preceding Winnipeg series. Jake Oettinger is still solid enough in goal to expect a recovery from Sunday, when admittedly the normally-resolute Dallas defense in front of him opened too may opportunities for the Oilers. It is worth pointing out that Edmonton's Stuart Skinner experienced that one six-or-so-minute blip in Game One, otherwise has been airtight in the Oilers goal in this series, as he was when pitching shutouts in Games 4 and 5 of the preceding Vegas series. Play Stars-Oilers Under